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Old 01-09-2009, 01:44 PM
Kiwi06 Kiwi06 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kiwi06 View Post
What work book
Right here is the work book

Open High Low Close Volume High Diff Low Diff
1.6686 1.6720 1.6539 1.6605 5374 0.0034 0.0147
1.6595 1.6599 1.6529 1.6548 5335 0.0004 0.0066
1.6531 1.6657 1.6480 1.6557 5114 0.0126 0.0051
1.6556 1.6584 1.6464 1.6507 5482 0.0028 0.0092

High Diff and Low Diff if the point count from open to either the high or low.
I’m trying to find an excel formula for this.
I have a preset TP ( ref MM Sheet cell B20) lets say 50 points I’m trying to figure out based on the info above what the probability is if I open a long position of hitting that 50 point TP or if I open a short position what the probability of hitting the 50 point TP the direction with the highest probability is the direction you open your position in theory
I can appreciate that on a one bit of data you have a 50/50 chance but based on just one other peice of data being in the equation that percentage must change.


Any help would be great.

Regards

Kiwi
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