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Estimate the Mean for a Truncated Normal Distribution

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    Estimate the Mean for a Truncated Normal Distribution

    How do you estimate the mean for a truncated normal distribution?

    For example, I have a normal distribution with a mean of 20 and a standard deviation of 10, and I want to determine the average for the values of 35 or greater.

    Thanks,
    Tyler

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    Forum Contributor arlu1201's Avatar
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    Re: Estimate the Mean for a Truncated Normal Distribution

    Is this solved?

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    Re: Estimate the Mean for a Truncated Normal Distribution

    Sorry, I'm still getting used to the social norms of the forum! Here's how I solved it:

    First, I filled a few thousand cells with a formula that produced a random number from the normal distribution [=NORMINV(RAND(),20,10)].
    Then, to calculate the average for the portion to the right of the truncation point, I just calculated the average of all the cells greater than the truncation value [=AVERAGEIF(range,<truncation point)].

    I took it one step further and calculated the average for a bunch of truncation points, and I created a LINEST function of the trend. That way, I could just plug in any truncation value into the LINEST formula instead of using the huge range of randomly generated numbers, which really slows things down.

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    Forum Expert shg's Avatar
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    Re: Estimate the Mean for a Truncated Normal Distribution

    No need for random numbers -- you can do it in closed form. See, for example, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Truncat...l_distribution

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    Last edited by shg; 12-03-2012 at 09:10 PM.
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