I want to figure out how to make this trading system work, but my excel knowledge is very limited. I am sure this mechanical system will help a lot of people out there too.
Lets assume a price, say 500. We will call this the base price as this system is expected to give trade signals for volatile stocks. Lets say it either moves up or down, being volatile. Now we will say it should give a long signal if the Price= Base+10 or give a SHORT signal if the Price=Base-10. So signal is BUY at 510 Or Sell short at 490, with stoploss= base price.
Now this is simple but the problem for me begins when trying to put a trailing stoploss for maximum gains. Lets say the action was Buy since the price went to 510. Now the intial stoploss as mentioned above would be 500. But when the price continues to rise the stoploss must be 2 points behind and must stay at that if the price falls below. Let me explain. Say 510 became 512, so stoploss would be 510. Now price became 515 stoploss =513. But now the price fell to 514 from 515 , then the stoploss should hold at 513 of the previous value, not fall to 514-2 = 512. And if it becomes 513 it should give an action to sell stocks (square off).
Now this does not have to trigger any softwares or anything as such. Only one cell in the sheet must give commands to buy or sell or square off when stoploss triggers. The same applies for a trade action to short at 490, with initial stoploss 500. Say it reduces further, the stoploss will trail by 2 points till the lowest, eg say price=475 stoploss would be 473 but if it starts to rise then the stoploss value must hold at 473 and square off the position at 473. Say it did not reach 473 and started falling again from 474 then the trailing stoploss would continue to have maximum gains.
If possible maybe we could have the same solution running with 2 or 3 configurations maybe like stoploss trail of 5 points instead of 2 and maybe say base+20 instead of base+10.
I am not sure if it can be done. I am sure this method will be helpful to a lot of people who have their eyes on volatile stocks but want to keep fear, greed and any other emotions out of the equation. And I am sure that this will work, only need to test out to see the best numbers for different stocks.
One more thing that would be great, is a column or such which specifies how many trades have been actioned say on a day of trading. Please note that this is only paper trading to see if trades hit can offset my brokerages and to see what is the success rate of trades triggered.
I thank everyone who have read this question and sincerely thank and appreciate any responses in this regard.
Bookmarks