Hi all, been lurking for awhile soaking up information, but have ran into something I'm not sure of...hope someone can help!
I'm creating a sales forecasting tool in Excel. Im wanting to compare a 12, 6, and 4 month centered moving average. I just need a bit of help in terms of laying out the formula, and where to place it. I've performed a BUNCH of other calculations in my actual file. All of these are reliant on the CMA placement due to references, and so I would love some help to make sure my formulas are in the right places (?period 6 or 7?, 12 or 11? etc). Its a bit hard for me to "visualize" where they need to be on a spreadsheet - I've seen examples where people create a "pd x.5" cell, but if possible I'd like to avoid that.
Example Data attached. The dates are correct (Correct starting and ending month/year), with June being the first month I'd like to forecast. The actual values were randomly generated & pasted in.
Ignore the t, Month Code, and Year - they are there for other functions to de-trend + deseasonalize the data, and put them back together later on in the forecast which I've done already in my actual file - the other calcs I mentioned previously that rely on the CMA
Example File:
12mCMA.xlsx
Feel free to edit it up as you wish. Adding comments to the file would be greatly appreciated, so I can learn!!
Actual File Available on request if needed.
Also, bonus points and a huge level of gratitude to *anyone* who can give me some information/help me on any of the following to make this a more efficient tool:
1) Setting this up so that I can continually plug in numbers to perpetuity/on and on, without having to change my formulas & functions each and every time I get new data.
2) Setting it up so that I could change my moving/centered moving average periods on the fly and see the outcomes
Sorry for the length of this post, I just wanted to provide as much info and/or clarification as posisble to hopefully make it easier on anyone willing to help. A big pre-emptive thanks to anyone that can help me out. It is definitely appreciated!
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