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Event study - varying sample size per event window statistically allowed?

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    Event study - varying sample size per event window statistically allowed?

    Hi all,

    I am conducting an event study using Excel, analyzing how social media posts are affecting stock prices. Is it statistically allowed to have a different number of observations per event window?

    E.g. to have in event window [0;1] 120 observations for which the abnormal returns are analyzed with the t-test; while having in event window [0;3] only 60 observations?

    I controlled for confounding events - per respective event window. E.g. when earnings where released in t=2 I still used the observation in event window [0;1] but not in [0;3].

    I wondering if its correct to then conclude e.g. that abnormal returns in [0;1] are significant, but not in [0;3].


    Thank you so much!!!

    PS: I followed McWilliams &Siegel (1997, S. 647) approach with the confounding events - but begin to think I did it wrong, because every other event study uses the same number of observations per event window...

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    Forum Guru Kaper's Avatar
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    Re: Event study - varying sample size per event window statistically allowed?

    Will you please attach a SMALL sample Excel workbook(s) (10-20 rows of data is usually enough)? Please don't attach a picture of one (no-one will want to re-type all your stuff before starting).

    1. Make sure that your sample data are truly REPRESENTATIVE of your real data. (If trere are typical cases like: all unique values/duplicates could occur, day/night, nobody present/several persons at once, before/on/past due, etc. - please show them all or at least indicate in text) The use of unrepresentative data is very frustrating and can lead to long delays in reaching a solution.

    2. Make sure that your desired solution(s) is/are also shown (mock up the results manually).

    3. Make sure that all confidential/restricted information (either personal or business) like real e-mails, social security numbers, bank accounts, etc. is removed first!!

    To attach an Excel file you have to do the following: Just before posting, scroll down and press Go Advanced button and then scroll down and press Manage Attachments link. Now follow the instructions at the top of that pop-up screen.
    Best Regards,

    Kaper

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    Re: Event study - varying sample size per event window statistically allowed?

    Hi Kaper,

    thanks for your reply!

    I attached my Excel file with my solutions and an example of how I calculated t-Value and z-Value.

    I think its more about, if its allowed to derive a conclusion like "cumulative average abnormal return from day 0-1 is insignificant, and from 0-3 it is significant" - even though the sample (size) is varying between time horizons.


    Thank you!
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