The spreadsheet is pretty basic and self-explanatory, but for example the cost is 22 and success rate 50%. My formula for actual cost was just the (cost * % failure) + cost, or 150% of the cost = 33. That seems fine, but as it progresses and you get to an 80% chance of failure with cost of 36, that formula comes back with avg cost of 64.8, and that just doesn't seem correct at all.
Bookmarks