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Calculating the correct score odds from the soccer match odds ?

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    Calculating the correct score odds from the soccer match odds ?

    Does anyone have any idea how you work out what the correct score odds in a soccer game should be with only the match odds and say the over/under 2.5 goal odds to work tthem out ? Does it have something to do with a piosson calculation? I know its possible as the bookies must do it to set odds in the first place. I'm looking for missalined prices to back / lay.

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    Forum Expert martindwilson's Avatar
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    Re: Calculating the correct score odds from the soccer match odds ?

    what is your excel question?
    "Unless otherwise stated all my comments are directed at OP"

    Mojito connoisseur and now happily retired
    where does code go ?
    look here
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    Martin Wilson: SPV
    and RSMBC

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    Re: Calculating the correct score odds from the soccer match odds ?

    example :


    Tranmere 2.5
    Port Vale 6
    The Draw 2.85

    Under 2.5 Goals 2



    Score Odds
    0 - 0 11.5
    0 - 1 13.5
    0 - 2 29
    0 - 3 85
    1 - 0 7.4
    1 - 1 7.4
    1 - 2 17.5
    1 - 3 50
    2 - 0 11
    2 - 1 9.6
    2 - 2 16.5
    2 - 3 50
    3 - 0 20
    3 - 1 17
    3 - 2 30
    3 - 3 85
    Any Unquoted 10.5

    From the above i could work out the home and away posibility of scoring from the match odds, my excel question is how do i work this into the goal odds using a piosson calculation?

  4. #4
    Forum Expert martindwilson's Avatar
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    Re: Calculating the correct score odds from the soccer match odds ?

    you probably want a maths forum!, i know excel has a poisson function but what values you pump into it needs some knowledge of the bits that make it up

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