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How to add customer attrition assumptions to a volume forecast?

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    06-28-2013
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    Excel 2003
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    How to add customer attrition assumptions to a volume forecast?

    Hi,

    This is my first post so here goes!

    I am trying to build in some attrition assumptions into a customer volumes data set and I am getting nowhere fast so would really appreciate some help.

    - I have a set of customer volumes from Jan 2014 to Dec 2023 segemted into heavy, medium and low users
    - I have some high level assumptions around annual attrition rates
    - I have some high level assumptions around the cost of retention for each customer segment

    What I am struggling with is combining everything to produce the attrition forecast. Ideally I would see:-

    - Monthly and Annual attrition numbers expressed in customers and cost

    I can do a basic high level annual calculation (attached) but really need a detailed monthly model, any help would be greatly appreciated.

    Thanks
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