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Calculating inflation-adjusted trailing returns

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    Calculating inflation-adjusted trailing returns

    Hello,

    I am trying to calculate the inflation-adjusted trailing returns for my financial portfolio, but I don't know how to adjust the formula (specifically the denominator) for inflation when the look-back period bleeds into the previous year(s). For example, suppose the date is February 1, 2023 and I want to determine the return over the last 3 months. This means that the starting value would be from November 1, 2022. In 2022, the monthly inflation differs from that of 2023. Let's say the average monthly inflation was 0.75%. In 2023, let's say it is 0.50%. How can I adjust my return for the inflation that happened in the last 2 months of 2022 and the first month of 2023? The denominator would have to pull from the 'Annual Inflation Rate' 0.75% and 0.50%:

    8.56% / (1 + 0.75%)^2 * (1 + 0.50%)

    I wrote the formula for a simple example in cell E3 where the assumption is that going back 3 months keeps you in the same fiscal year of 2023. The answer would resolve to:

    8.56% / (1+ 0.50%)^3

    Obviously, depending on the date and how far you look back (e.g. 5 years back), inflation from previous years become relevant. The second sheet (titled Annual Inflation Rate) contains the average monthly inflation rates.

    Thanks for reading this.
    Attached Files Attached Files
    Last edited by CEdward; 12-15-2023 at 09:53 AM.

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